Next and the beautiful arithmetic of long-termism | Nils Pratley

Next and the beautiful arithmetic of long-termism | Nils Pratley

Next, Retail industry, Business Business | The Guardian

​The dawn of a new era of faster profits growth from overseas and ‘platform’ operations are among reasons for the retailer to be cheerfulHere is an absurdly mean-minded way to view Next’s advance towards annual profits of £1bn this financial year: since the retailer achieved almost half a billion (£498m) as long ago as 2008, merely doubling over 17 years is not otherworldly. The annual compound rate of improvement works out at only 4%.But that perspective would plainly be ridiculous for at least two reasons. First, Next, like everyone else, had to deal with the long recession after the financial crash and then the pandemic; the retailing landscape was littered with the bodies of those who didn’t make it – BHS, Debenhams and more. Or look at the contrast with Marks & Spencer, which hit the £1bn mark in 2008 and has never seen it again. Even with M&S in recovery mode, Next is the bigger company by far these days in terms of stock market value – £13bn plays £7.5bn. Continue reading… 

The dawn of a new era of faster profits growth from overseas and ‘platform’ operations are among reasons for the retailer to be cheerful

Here is an absurdly mean-minded way to view Next’s advance towards annual profits of £1bn this financial year: since the retailer achieved almost half a billion (£498m) as long ago as 2008, merely doubling over 17 years is not otherworldly. The annual compound rate of improvement works out at only 4%.

But that perspective would plainly be ridiculous for at least two reasons. First, Next, like everyone else, had to deal with the long recession after the financial crash and then the pandemic; the retailing landscape was littered with the bodies of those who didn’t make it – BHS, Debenhams and more. Or look at the contrast with Marks & Spencer, which hit the £1bn mark in 2008 and has never seen it again. Even with M&S in recovery mode, Next is the bigger company by far these days in terms of stock market value – £13bn plays £7.5bn.

Continue reading… 

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