Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide. Prediction Markets, Presidential Election of 2024, Polls and Public Opinion, Gambling, Harris, Kamala D, Trump, Donald J, Polymarket (Adventure One QSS Inc), PredictIt (Aristotle International Inc), Kalshi Inc Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling data can provide. NYT > Business